Scenarios Forecasts

Close-up of an aluminium surface with linear patterns and reflections, creating a textured and abstract visual effect. The lines vary in width and run diagonally across the image, giving it a dynamic and modern appearance. This monochromatic scene forecasts various artistic scenarios.
Scenarios and forecasts inform IAI’s data and models for the global industry.

Work Area Archive

IAI-Energy
IAI-Industry&Sustainability
IAI-Scenarios&Forecasts

Since the 1980s, the aluminum industry in China has made the most significant progress in two aspects. One is the annual output of primary aluminum that has continuously risen from roughly 400,000 tons in 1983 to 40.21 million tons in 2022, accounting for 58.8% of the total annual global output. ...

Published in

2024
IAI-Communities
IAI-Lifecycle
IAI-MaterialFlowAnalysis
IAI-Recycling
IAI-Scenarios&Forecasts

A review of waste management maturity in six countries In 2023, the IAI commissioned Roland Berger to look into the current situation around aluminium can waste management and improvement levers in Australia, Cambodia, South Korea, Thailand, United Arab Emirates and Vietnam. Together, these countries provide representative insights into can usage, ...

Published in

2023
IAI-Lifecycle
IAI-MaterialFlowAnalysis
IAI-Recycling
IAI-Scenarios&Forecasts

The IAI has published the latest IAI Material Flow Model update. This update highlights the increase of production rates, recyclability and usage of scrap sources over the past 70 years (1950-2021). It also shows a particularly sharp rise in all areas over the past 20 years globally and even more ...

Published in

2023
IAI-Lifecycle
IAI-Scenarios&Forecasts

The aluminium industry has pioneered the application of life cycle approaches to assessing the impacts of materials and production. The 2019 Life Cycle Inventory (LCI) data summarises thousands of data points collected from over 200 sites worldwide across the entire industrial value chain. Due to the increase in reporters and ...

Published in

2022
IAI-Lifecycle
IAI-MaterialFlowAnalysis
IAI-Recycling
IAI-Scenarios&Forecasts

A new study confirms that an aluminium beverage can placed on the European market generates almost 90% of its added value in Europe. Eunomia Research and Consulting, on behalf of the International Aluminium Institute (IAI), have built a material flow model for aluminium cans sold in Europe including raw material ...

Published in

2022
IAI-GreenhouseGases
IAI-Scenarios&Forecasts

Evaluation of the economics of PET, aluminium and glass beverage containers in 2021 and the impact of carbon taxes. The International Aluminium Institute (IAI) engaged Wood Mackenzie to evaluate the economics of PET, aluminium and glass beverage containers in 2021 and the impact of carbon taxes. The study considered the ...

Published in

2022
IAI-Lifecycle
IAI-MaterialFlowAnalysis
IAI-Recycling
IAI-Scenarios&Forecasts

A new study on the recycling of aluminium building products in China confirms collection rates of 100% for the majority of buildings surveyed and that most aluminium window frames are recycled in closed-loop systems. Professor Wei-Qiang Chen and Dr Wanjun Wang from the Institute of Urban Environment (IUE), Chinese Academy ...

Published in

2022
IAI-Scenarios&Forecasts

This study, conducted by business intelligence analysts CRU International on behalf of the International Aluminium Institute (IAI), details demand across key industrial sectors and regions in a post-Covid economy. Transportation, construction, packaging and the electrical sectors are the four key sectors that will drive demand, accounting for 75% of the ...

Published in

2022
IAI-Lifecycle
IAI-MaterialFlowAnalysis
IAI-Recycling
IAI-Scenarios&Forecasts

A compilation of the Monday Stats Post by Marlen Bertram, the IAI’s Director of Scenarios and Forecasts Since February 2021, the IAI started piloting a regular post with unique IAI statistics and insights. This data is compiled by IAI’s Director of Scenarios and Forecasts, Marlen Bertram. The Monday Stats Post ...

Published in

2022
IAI-ElectricEnergy
IAI-GreenhouseGases
IAI-Scenarios&Forecasts

IAI models 1.5-degree decarbonisation scenario in a bid to drive greater emissions reductions This scenario will guide and inform what industry does – much is currently happening. The International Aluminium Institute (IAI) has modelled a 1.5 Degree Scenario to guide its member’s efforts to meet global climate goals. The modelling ...

Published in

2021
An intricate, spherical metal sculpture composed of intersecting aluminium rods, creating a geometric lattice structure.

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